Thomas Hertel
/ Alison Brizius
Distinguished Professor, Agricultural Economics, Purdue University Executive Director and Founder, Center for Global Trade Analysis
Areas of Expertise:
Climate change impacts and mitigation
Global land use change
Global food security and environmental change
Thomas Hertel is Distinguished Professor of Agricultural Economics at Purdue University, where his research and teaching focus on international trade, climate change, food and environmental security. Dr. Hertel is a Fellow, and a Past-President, of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA). He is also a fellow of the AAAS (2018). Hertel is the founder and Executive Director of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) which now encompasses more than 15,000 researchers in 170 countries around the world (www.gtap.org). This Project maintains a global economic data base and an applied general equilibrium modeling framework which are documented in the book: Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, edited by Dr. Hertel, and published by Cambridge University Press. He has supervised more than forty PhD students and published more than 120 peer reviewed journal articles, along with several dozen book chapters as well as four books. Professor Hertel is the inaugural recipient of the Purdue University Research and Scholarship Distinction Award. He has also received a number of AAEA awards including: Publication of Enduring Quality, Distinguished Policy Contribution, Outstanding Journal Article and Quality of Communication. He has also been Advisor to two Outstanding AAEA PhD and MS theses.
Research Projects
Students
Thomas W Hertel. The challenges of sustainably feeding a growing planet. Food Security, 7(2):185–198, 2015.
Thomas W. Hertel, Jevgenijs Steinbuks, and Wallace E. Tyner. What is the social value of second generation biofuels? Applied Economic Perspectives and Policies, 2015. (Working paper version available as World Bank Policy Research Working Paper no. WPS 7142).
T.W. Hertel, U.L.C. Baldos, and D. van der Mensbrugghe. Predicting long term food demand, cropland use and prices. forthcoming in the Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2016.
Thomas W Hertel. Food security under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 6(1):10–13, 2016.
Thomas W Hertel, Jevgenijs Steinbuks, and Wallace E Tyner. What is the social value of second generation biofuels? Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, page ppv027, 2015.
Thomas W Hertel, Uris Lantz C Baldos, and Dominique Y van der Mensbrugghe. Predicting long term food demand, cropland use, and prices. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 8(1), 2016.
Jianguo Liu, Harold Mooney, Vanessa Hull, Steven J Davis, Joanne Gaskell, Thomas Hertel, Jane Lubchenco, Karen C Seto, Peter Gleick, Claire Kremen, et al. Systems integration for global sustainability. Science, 347(6225):1258832, 2015.
Janine Pelikan, Wolfgang Britz, and Thomas W Hertel. Green light for green agricultural policies? An analysis at regional and global scales. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 66(1):1–19, 2015.
Jevgenijs Steinbuks and Thomas W. Hertel. Confronting the food-energy-environment trilemma: Global land use in the long run. forthcoming in Environmental and Resource Economics, 2015.
Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, and Thomas W. Hertel. "Confronting the Food-Energy-Environment Trilemma: Global Land Use in the Long Run." Environmental and Resource Economics (2012): 1-26.
Y. Cai, J.W. Elliott J. Steinbuks, K.L. Judd, and T.W. Hertel. The effect of uncertainty in crop yields on the optimal path of global land use. R&R in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2016.
Yongyang Cai, Jevgenijs Steinbuks, Joshua Elliott, and Thomas W Hertel. The effect of climate and technological uncertainty in crop yields on the optimal path of global land use. Working Paper 7009, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, 2014.

A. Golub, T. Hertel, and S. Rose. Global land use impacts of us ethanol: Revised analysis using dynamic gtap-bio framework. Handbook of Bioenergy Economics and Policy: Modeling Land use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications. Madhu Khanna and David Zilberman, editors, forthcoming.